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With less than 24 hours to go, every major poll in the United States has Obama up by various percentage points. Our only hope here is that the polling models are wrong:
That Democrat turnout projections are overestimated; that expanded 'likely voter' models are off the mark; that 'undecideds' will break for McCain; that those who declined to participate in the polls are mostly McCain supporters; that a percentage of those polled lied to the pollsters...etc...
A possibility? YES. A probability? NO.
Incentives Matter
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My friend John Phelan, probably quoting another famous economist, says that
the discipline of economics can be summed up in the phrase “incentives
matter.”...
9 hours ago
That's a good point. The polls seem to be all over the place. For instance, CBS has Obama up 13%. IBD TIPP has them 2% apart. It's hard to tell. I do however think it's going to be close.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zq1elkGBM7s&feature=related
ReplyDeleteNeed I say more?
Get out and VOTE!!!!